National vote scheme is bad for Colorado, worse for rural voters

by | Sep 23, 2020 | Capitol Review

Proposition 113 on this year’s ballot is a rare example of Colorado citizens rising up to say “STOP!” when the State Legislature allows partisan rancor to cloud common sense.  Last year, legislators passed a bill which would award Colorado’s crucial nine votes in the Electoral College – which actually determines who will be President – to the winner of the fictional national popular vote (NPV).

This short-sighted strategy diminishes the voice of Colorado voters in choosing the President.  It’s especially harmful to rural Colorado where votes are so sparse that candidates could easily ignore us.

Why is NPV “fictional”?  Because what takes place on Election Day is actually 51 separate elections for President.  Each state and the District of Columbia tabulates its own votes using its own laws and awards its electors to the candidate preferred by its own voters.

The NPV compact, which voters can reject by voting NO on Prop 113, turns that process on its head by awarding Colorado’s electoral votes not to the candidate who receives the most votes in Colorado but to the candidate who receives the most votes nationwide.

Colorado’s vote would become insignificant compared to larger and more densely populated states.  But it’s not just large states like California, Texas and Florida that would smother Colorado’s voice.  Because Colorado is often more evenly-divided than other states, the margin of victory here is often so small that our choice would be negated even by smaller states.

In 2016, Hillary Clinton defeated Donald Trump in Colorado by 136,000 votes.  That’s less than the margin of victory in 31 other states.  Deep red states like Alabama and Arkansas provided Donald Trump with larger margins, so Colorado’s popular vote for Clinton would have been negated even by those states.  In years when Colorado votes Republican, small, deep-blue states like Connecticut or Hawaii could provide a larger margin to the Democrat candidate to more than offset Colorado’s choice.

So long as Colorado is considered a competitive state, candidates and their campaigns are compelled to seek our voters wherever they may live.  That would change for the worse if Prop 113 passes.

The national popular vote is a statistical curiosity that makes an interesting backdrop for television news anchors, but there is currently no verifiable and uniform legal standard to determine an accurate count.

A search for national popular vote totals from 2016 reveals that the Federal Election Commission, New York Times, CNN, Associated Press and Politico/Washington Post each report different final counts for the popular vote.

In 2000, the election dragged into December while lawyers, lawmakers and judges argued about the proper way to count various ballots used by different Florida counties.  Multiply that by mess times 50 in a close national vote, like 1960 when John F. Kennedy and Richard Nixon both received more than 34 million votes and were separated by just 120,000.

The potential for litigation, shenanigans and outright fraud is endless.  Consider that in 378 U.S. counties, there are more registered voters than people of voting age.  Just last month in New Jersey, 1,700 mail-in ballots for a July primary election were found uncounted, and in Massachusetts, 3,000 primary ballots were discovered two days after the election.

The founders knew what they were doing by giving each state a unique role in choosing the President.  One of the virtues of the Electoral College is that it confines voting irregularities – real or perceived – to the state in which they occur.  If vote tallies in Chicago or Philadelphia seem fishy, those problems are confined to Illinois and Pennsylvania, but they don’t interfere with the voice of Coloradans.  With a national popular vote, “running up the score” by whatever any means available becomes more tempting.

Rural Coloradans increasingly feel ignored by our urban-centric State Legislature.  Voting NO on Proposition 113 is a way we can make our voice heard.


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